Can you get higher than FD returns with low risk?
This article will answer a common question from conservative investors with a low-risk appetite and a desire to get better returns than FD.
This article will answer a common question from conservative investors with a low-risk appetite and a desire to get better returns than FD.
Note: This is the 100th post on this blog. The first post went live on 6-Mar-2021, and I have posted on an average every three days to reach this milestone on 23-Dec-2021. This post is dedicated to all my readers and subscribers.
Disclaimer: Mutual funds do not guarantee any returns or give back the invested amount. The following analysis shows the potential of mutual funds, based on historical returns, to get better than FD returns. There is no guarantee that actual returns will beat an FD.
A common question from new investors, retirees and those with a conservative risk profile is
How do I get returns that are better than FD with low risk
To answer this question, we will consider two things regarding risk to set the right expectations.
First, you need to take more risk than FD to get returns better than FD. Second, and more importantly, just by taking more risk, a higher return is not guaranteed. There could be lower than FD return as well. Since there is no standardised definition of โlowโ risk profile, before making any investments, investors should check their risk profile using a tool like this: Do not invest in mutual funds before doing this.
Non-bank, i.e. NBFC/Corporate FDs or NCDs, and covered bonds are not considered in this article since their risk profile is different than bank FDs. Therefore, only bank FDs are in scope, assuming that the FD is virtually risk-free like the strongest banks as per RBI (SIFI banks like HDFC/SBI/ICICI), post-office or all banks under five lakhs DICGC insurance.
Related:
What is Deposit Insurance and How Does it Protect Your Money?
For reference, the current SBI 10 year FD rate, on the date of publication, is 5.4%.
We will explore multiple options to create an investment plan that will focus on
A debt mutual fund can be a simple option to get better than FD return primarily because debt funds are more tax-efficient than FDs. The interest income on an FD is taxed at the highest slab rate of the investor. The tax is 20% on capital gains post indexation for a debt fund if held for three years or more. This concept is covered in more detail in this post: How is tax calculated on selling shares/MFs?.
Note: As per the amendment to the Finance Act 2023, on 24th March 2023, debt mutual funds purchased after 1st Apr 2023 will be taxable at slab rates just like FDs: What should debt, international and gold mutual fund investors do now that these funds are taxable at slab rate?
Investors should keep in mind that the taxation on both FD and mutual funds can change anytime in the yearly Budget and the current tax benefit of debt MF over FD may reduce or disappear.
Suppose the investment horizon is less than three years, or the investor is in a 10% or lesser tax slab. In that case, it is better to invest in FD simply because the return is more predictable. However, the potential to make higher than FD returns is still present even if the tax is the same in these cases.
Since the return in a debt fund is not guaranteed, we can try to get better than FD returns at a slightly higher amount of risk by choosing the correct category of debt fund.
For reference, post-tax return of an FD with 5.4% rate (current SBI 10Y FD) is
Post Tax return = Pre tax return * (1 - Tax rate %)
Our standard recommendation for choosing a debt fund to get higher than FD returns potentially is this:
If the investment is one-time and regular income is not needed, then target maturity debt funds can be an option if the fund matures in or around the same time as when money is required.
Investors should keep in mind that the returns from these funds will fluctuate along the way, and the projected return (YTM-TER) will vary due to changes in the bond portfolio. In addition, this option has a higher risk than the debt mutual funds recommended above due to the high-interest rate risk of the portfolio. Using Valueresearchonline data, the latest funds are:
Fund Name | TER % | YTM % | YTM-TER % |
---|---|---|---|
ABSL Nifty SDL Plus PSU Bond Sep 2026 | 0.18 | 5.97 | 5.79 |
Axis AAA Bond Plus SDL ETF - 2026 FoF | 0.07 | 5.87 | 5.80 |
BHARAT Bond FOF - April 2023 | 0.05 | 4.68 | 4.63 |
BHARAT Bond FOF - April 2025 | 0.05 | 5.49 | 5.44 |
BHARAT Bond FOF - April 2030 | 0.05 | 6.75 | 6.70 |
BHARAT Bond FOF - April 2031 | 0.05 | 6.79 | 6.74 |
Edelweiss NIFTY PSU Bond Plus SDL Index Fund 2026 | 0.16 | 5.91 | 5.75 |
Edelweiss NIFTY PSU Bond Plus SDL Index Fund 2027 | 0.16 | 6.13 | 5.97 |
ICICI Prudential PSU Bond Plus SDL 40:60 Index Fund - Sep 2027 | 0.15 | 6.25 | 6.10 |
IDFC Gilt 2027 Index Fund | 0.15 | 5.88 | 5.73 |
IDFC Gilt 2028 Index Fund | 0.15 | 6.01 | 5.86 |
Checks:
You can choose a mix of equity and debt mutual funds based on the goal horizon and risk profile as per the asset allocation. Here are some sample asset allocations depending on the risk profile and duration of the goal.
Once the asset allocation is known for the goal, choose from here: Which funds should I invest in?.
A very simple way to manage the portfolio can be
Checks:
A detailed discussion of mutual funds vs. FD is provided in this article: Mutual Fund vs Fixed Deposit - where should you invest?
Small savings schemes include post office deposits, Monthly Income Account Scheme (MIS), Senior Citizen Savings Scheme (SCSS), National Savings Certificate (NSC), Public Provident Fund (PPF) scheme, Kisan Vikas Patra (KVP), and Sukanya Samriddhi Account (SSA) Scheme.
Rates updated on 30-Sep-2024
Starting date: 01-Oct-2024
Ending date: 31-Dec-2024
Instrument | Rate of interest |
---|---|
Saving Deposit | 4.0% |
1 Year Time Deposit | 6.9% |
2 Year Time Deposit | 7.0% |
3 Year Time Deposit | 7.1% |
5 Year Time Deposit | 7.5% |
5 Year Recurring Deposit | 6.7% |
Senior Citizen Savings (SCSS) | 8.2% |
Monthly Income Scheme (MIS) | 7.4% |
National Savings Certificate (NSC) | 7.7% |
Public Provident Fund (PPF) | 7.1% |
Kisan Vikas Patra (KVP) | 7.5% (will mature in 115 months) |
Sukanya Samriddhi Account (SSA) | 8.2% |
Source:: https://dea.gov.in/budgetdivision/interest-rates
Employee Provident Fund (EPF), Public Provident fund (PPF) and Sukanya Samriddhi Yojana (SSY) can be used:
Checks:
More details are available here: How to choose debt instruments for retirement?
The RBI Retail Direct Scheme (RDS) was launched in November 2021 to allow Indian retail investors to buy and sell government bonds directly. The facility enables individuals to buy and sell Treasury Bills (T-Bills), Government Bonds (Gilt), State Government Bonds (SDL) and Sovereign Gold Bonds (SGB) from both primary (when issued) and secondary markets. RBI bonds (except T-Bills) offer an interest payment every six months and return the principal amount on maturity. The maturity amount might be lower than the invested amount since bonds are usually offered at a premium and is typical for these bonds. However, there is no loss of capital since the Yield-To-Maturity (YTM) of bonds is positive as per their pricing at the time of issue. Investors should check if the post-tax YTM is higher than FD before investing.
Checks:
More details are available here: How to use the RBI Retail Direct Scheme to get guaranteed income?
This article spoke about specific investment options for conservative investors. A better approach is to decide what is the purpose of the investment and follow goal-based investing:
Investors who are interested to understand if they are beating inflation or not by being conservative should consider the following articles:
This article shows you which funds have not fallen the most now that the stock market has corrected by 10-15% from life-time highs.
Published: 20 November 2024
4 MIN READ
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This post titled Can you get higher than FD returns with low risk? first appeared on 23 Dec 2021 at https://arthgyaan.com