The Feb 2016 SGB showcased a fantastic return on maturity compared to other investment avenues like fixed deposits and some equity mutual funds.
This article is a part of our detailed article series on the new issues of Sovereign Gold Bond (SGB) and well as maturity of existing SGBs. Ensure you have read the other parts here:
If you had bought and held this SGB until maturity, then this is the return you would have got based on the amounts you paid, the intermediate interest you got and the final maturity value:
Date
Description
No tax
10% tax
20% tax
30% tax
Feb-16
Investment
-2,600
-2,600
-2,600
-2,600
Aug-16
6-m interest
35.75
32.18
28.60
25.03
Feb-17
6-m interest
35.75
32.18
28.60
25.03
Aug-17
6-m interest
35.75
32.18
28.60
25.03
Feb-18
6-m interest
35.75
32.18
28.60
25.03
Aug-18
6-m interest
35.75
32.18
28.60
25.03
Feb-19
6-m interest
35.75
32.18
28.60
25.03
Aug-19
6-m interest
35.75
32.18
28.60
25.03
Feb-20
6-m interest
35.75
32.18
28.60
25.03
Aug-20
6-m interest
35.75
32.18
28.60
25.03
Feb-21
6-m interest
35.75
32.18
28.60
25.03
Aug-21
6-m interest
35.75
32.18
28.60
25.03
Feb-22
6-m interest
35.75
32.18
28.60
25.03
Aug-22
6-m interest
35.75
32.18
28.60
25.03
Feb-23
6-m interest
35.75
32.18
28.60
25.03
Aug-23
6-m interest
35.75
32.18
28.60
25.03
Feb-24
Maturity
6,306.75
6,303.18
6,299.60
6,296.03
08-Feb-24
XIRR
13.64%
13.43%
13.23%
13.03%
It is important to note that to get the return in the table above, which is a calculation similar to that of Yield To Maturity or YTM of a bond, the intermediate 6-monthly interest payments must be also invested in SGB, if needed from the secondary market: How to buy SGB from the stock market?.
Simply adding the gold price return with the interest rate will not give the return of the SGB since the interest also has to compound at the same rate.
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We can see that the SGB has given a return higher than the gold price movement (11.63%) over 8 years due to the interest it pays out.
Please note that the rupee depreciation against the US Dollar, since most of our gold is imported, reduces the headline 141% return by 21.98% or the yearly return to a more pedestrian 8.89%.
We will now compare this SGB return to other asset classes starting with FD.
SBI was giving 5-10 year FDs offering a modest 7% for non-senior citizens which would have course give a return much lower due to tax.
Other banks would have given higher returns but their risk would have been higher as well though all banks are covered under DICGC insurance.
Investment
No tax
10% tax
20% tax
30% tax
SGB
13.64%
13.43%
13.23%
13.03%
FD
7.00%
6.30%
5.60%
4.90%
To understand if you should invest in SGBs:
Comparing with mutual funds
If we look at the universe of all equity mutual funds, and exclude thematic and sectoral funds from it, there were 155 funds at the time of issuance of this SGB which are still active today.
If we consider the 30% post-tax return case, the following 7 funds have been beaten by the SGB.
Fund
Return pre-tax
Return after-tax
Taurus Large Cap Fund
12.42%
11.54%
Taurus Flexi Cap Fund
12.52%
11.63%
Aditya Birla Sun Life ELSS Tax Saver Fund
13.04%
12.14%
BANDHAN Flexi Cap Fund
13.14%
12.23%
LIC MF Flexi Cap Fund
13.26%
12.35%
Franklin India Bluechip Fund
13.78%
12.84%
Nippon India Tax Saver Fund
13.78%
12.84%
If we assume zero tax in both cases, then the following 12 funds have been beaten by the SGB.
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This post titled SGB issued in Feb 2016 has given 141% return in 8 years. How does that compare with FDs and equity mutual funds? first appeared on 11 Feb 2024 at https://arthgyaan.com
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